Category Archives: Sports

“RACK MANAGEMENT”.

“RACK MANAGEMENT”. The letters which are good for making bingo words are also useful in making words when you have a bad draw. The millions of computer simulations of games have shown that “bad draws happen more frequently than previously … Continue reading

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MONEYBALL COMES TO SCRABBLE.

MONEYBALL COMES TO SCRABBLE. I have used the term “moneyball” to refer to the use of data and statistical analysis in baseball and other sports. (The term was coined by Michael Lewis in his book MONEYBALL). This article in the … Continue reading

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ANOTHER EXPLANATION FOR DANIEL MURPHY’S STREAK.

ANOTHER EXPLANATION FOR DANIEL MURPHY’S STREAK. Andrew Beaton in the Wall Street Journal (May 18) had another explanation of “How Daniel Murphy Became Ted Williams” (as the headline on the article phrased the question.) Beaton began the article by saying … Continue reading

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IS THERE AN EXPLANATION FOR WHY DANIEL MURPHY’S HOT STREAK HAS CONTINUED?

IS THERE AN EXPLANATION FOR WHY DANIEL MURPHY’S HOT STREAK HAS CONTINUED? I have posted several times about Daniel Murphy’s hot streak at the end of the season in 2015. He had never hit more than 14 home runs in … Continue reading

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SOME EVIDENCE THAT DEFENDING AGAINST A HOT HAND CAN BE WORTHWHILE.

SOME EVIDENCE THAT DEFENDING AGAINST A HOT HAND CAN BE WORTHWHILE. Much of the focus of the studies and papers on whether there is “a hot hand” (and Edmund Andrews says there have been dozens of them) has been on … Continue reading

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DEFENDING AGAINST A HOT HAND.

DEFENDING AGAINST A HOT HAND. Nate Silver, in this interview with Tyler Cowen, says that new statistical evidence suggests that there is something to the hot hand theory. He refers to this paper by Jeffrey Zwiebel and Brett S. Green, … Continue reading

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PREDICTING DANIEL MURPHY’S BATTING STATISTICS FOR 2016.

PREDICTING DANIEL MURPHY’S BATTING PERFORMANCE FOR 2016. I explained my prediction for the World Series performance of Daniel Murphy here. In that post, I tried to apply some of Philip Tetlock’s principles of forecasting. I pointed out that: “It occurs … Continue reading

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DANIEL MURPHY—NO HOT HAND IN THE WORLD SERIES..

DANIEL MURPHY—NO HOT HAND IN THE WORLD SERIES. Last fall, just before the World Series began, I posted about this article by Robert Silverman which raised the question whether Daniel Murphy’s hitting streak in his last nine games might cast … Continue reading

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MAYBE THE PLAYERS SHOULD WEAR DRESSES.

MAYBE THE PLAYERS SHOULD WEAR DRESSES. Even after two second basemen suffered broken legs last year and were unable to participate in playoff games, the new rule on “take out” slides is still controversial. A good example of an opponent … Continue reading

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SAFETY AT SECOND BASE.

SAFETY AT SECOND BASE. Every so often when I argue that a rule should be changed, it is changed. I posted here in August, 2013 about how instant replay would change the neighborhood play at second base in double play … Continue reading

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