Category Archives: Baseball

SOME EVIDENCE THAT DEFENDING AGAINST A HOT HAND CAN BE WORTHWHILE.

Posted on April 28, 2016 by Philip

SOME EVIDENCE THAT DEFENDING AGAINST A HOT HAND CAN BE WORTHWHILE. Much of the focus of the studies and papers on whether there is “a hot hand” (and Edmund Andrews says there have been dozens of them) has been on … Continue reading →

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DEFENDING AGAINST A HOT HAND.

Posted on April 27, 2016 by Philip

DEFENDING AGAINST A HOT HAND. Nate Silver, in this interview with Tyler Cowen, says that new statistical evidence suggests that there is something to the hot hand theory. He refers to this paper by Jeffrey Zwiebel and Brett S. Green, … Continue reading →

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PREDICTING DANIEL MURPHY’S BATTING STATISTICS FOR 2016.

Posted on April 26, 2016 by Philip

PREDICTING DANIEL MURPHY’S BATTING PERFORMANCE FOR 2016. I explained my prediction for the World Series performance of Daniel Murphy here. In that post, I tried to apply some of Philip Tetlock’s principles of forecasting. I pointed out that: “It occurs … Continue reading →

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DANIEL MURPHY—NO HOT HAND IN THE WORLD SERIES..

Posted on April 25, 2016 by Philip

DANIEL MURPHY—NO HOT HAND IN THE WORLD SERIES. Last fall, just before the World Series began, I posted about this article by Robert Silverman which raised the question whether Daniel Murphy’s hitting streak in his last nine games might cast … Continue reading →

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MAYBE THE PLAYERS SHOULD WEAR DRESSES.

Posted on April 19, 2016 by Philip

MAYBE THE PLAYERS SHOULD WEAR DRESSES. Even after two second basemen suffered broken legs last year and were unable to participate in playoff games, the new rule on “take out” slides is still controversial. A good example of an opponent … Continue reading →

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SAFETY AT SECOND BASE.

Posted on April 18, 2016 by Philip

SAFETY AT SECOND BASE. Every so often when I argue that a rule should be changed, it is changed. I posted here in August, 2013 about how instant replay would change the neighborhood play at second base in double play … Continue reading →

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THE OLDEST ROTISSERIE LEAGUE HOLDS ITS 35TH DRAFT TODAY.

Posted on April 10, 2016 by Philip

THE OLDEST ROTISSERIE LEAGUE HOLDS ITS 35TH DRAFT TODAY. Our draft this year occurs Later today—after Opening Day, with the statistics being effective back to Opening Day. Our draft has been held after Opening Day more often than not. I … Continue reading →

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A WHORFIAN COMES TO BASEBALL.

Posted on April 3, 2016 by Philip

A WHORFIAN COMES TO BASEBALL. I have posted a number of times about Whorfianism and posted here on my own Whorfian tendencies, so I was pleased to see Ken Arneson begin his article on pitch sequences with what he calls … Continue reading →

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THE NEED FOR STATISTICS WHICH DEAL WITH PITCH SEQUENCES.

Posted on April 2, 2016 by Philip

THE NEED FOR STATISTICS WHICH DEAL WITH PITCH SEQUENCES. Pitch sequencing affects the batter’s expectations for the next pitch as they are formed by both his conscious system and his unconscious system. Arneson says: “Pitch sequencing…is at the heart of… … Continue reading →

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THE IMPORTANCE OF PITCH SEQUENCES.

Posted on April 1, 2016 by Philip

THE IMPORTANCE OF PITCH SEQUENCES. Nick called my attention to this article on pitch sequencing by Ken Arneson from 2014 which Nick had seen recommended several times. Pitchers and hitters talk about pitch sequences a great deal but analysts (sabermatricians) … Continue reading →

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