THE STORY OF A LONG SEASON. The use of statistics represented by MONEYBALL changed sports journalism as much as it did baseball on the field. There was a flood of baseball writing by newcomers writing from a different point of view. Baseball writers had been beat writers, who turned a baseball game into a story. But there had always been people like me, who would read about a game by checking a box score, and the new writers wrote as if the box score was what was important. The story that the new journalists influenced by sabermetrics tell is not about individual games. The story is about average performances over 162 games. Ron Shelton wrote Bull Durham. In the Slate article, Allen Barra quotes Ron Shelton: “They always end these sports movies with a ‘big game’….. In real life, there is no big game. There’s always a game coming up after.”
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Fantasy baseball is entirely about using those statistics, isn’t it?
The box score statistics, certainly. Most leagues use the standard stats that everybody is familiar with (Batting Average, Home Runs, RBIs/Runs in some fashion, Stolen Bases, etc.).
Leagues are getting more easily customized, and can reflect more accurate statistics like On Base Percentage, Slugging Percentage, etc. etc.
I don’t think the lesson from MONEYBALL is any particular statistic, but rather that you have to find ways to evaluate players such that you are able to find market inefficiencies. That way you can find hidden value.