A BOOKMAKER’S VIEW—THE UPSET OF THE MILLENNIUM.

A BOOKMAKER’S VIEW—THE UPSET OF THE MILLENNIUM. From a bookmaker’s point of view, I think that the historical event in the last millennium with the lowest probability was Joan of Arc’s leading a medieval army to victory in battle. The probability of a person of low birth without training as a knight doing so was infinitesimal. The probability of a girl having the opportunity was even smaller.