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<channel>
	<title>Pater Familias &#187; Baseball</title>
	<atom:link href="http://philipschaefer.com/category/sports/baseball/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://philipschaefer.com</link>
	<description>Theories, observations, and articles</description>
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		<title>THE MOST IMPORTANT EPISODE OF THE SIMPSONS ? (COMMENT).</title>
		<link>http://philipschaefer.com/2012/04/20/the-most-important-episode-of-the-simpsons-comment/</link>
		<comments>http://philipschaefer.com/2012/04/20/the-most-important-episode-of-the-simpsons-comment/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Apr 2012 21:38:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Philip</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sports]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://philipschaefer.com/?p=11528</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[THE MOST IMPORTANT EPISODE OF THE SIMPSONS? (COMMENT). Lee Bryant and then Nick drew my attention to this article on deadspin.com about the importance of the first episode of the Simpsons to deal with baseball by commenting on my post &#8230; <a href="http://philipschaefer.com/2012/04/20/the-most-important-episode-of-the-simpsons-comment/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>THE MOST IMPORTANT EPISODE OF THE SIMPSONS? (COMMENT). Lee Bryant and then Nick drew my attention to this <a href="http://deadspin.com/5886723">article</a> on deadspin.com about the importance of the first episode of the Simpsons to deal with baseball by commenting on my post on the &#8220;Moneybart&#8221; episode of the Simpsons. The article celebrates the 20th anniversary of an episode which was a landmark for the program because it was the first time that the Simpsons had won their time slot. The episode&#8212;Homer at the Bat&#8221;&#8212;had a baseball theme. The writing staff was &#8220;full of fantasy baseball junkies&#8221;, and the script was full of baseball lore. The episode featured the voices and cartoon versions of nine active baseball players. The choices stand up 20 years later in terms of their importance to the game. The episode is also noteworthy for the Simpsons characters behaving uncharacteristically&#8212;Homer has success, winning the game for his team with a walk-off grand slam homer.</p>
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		<title>A GREAT PHILOSOPHER ON BASEBALL AS A RELIGION.</title>
		<link>http://philipschaefer.com/2012/02/20/a-great-philosopher-on-baseball-as-a-religion/</link>
		<comments>http://philipschaefer.com/2012/02/20/a-great-philosopher-on-baseball-as-a-religion/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Feb 2012 23:08:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Philip</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sports]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://philipschaefer.com/?p=11310</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A GREAT PHILOSOPHER ON BASEBALL AS A RELIGION. Mary Jane quite frequently refers to baseball as a religion for me. The South Side Sox blog called my attention to this essay from 1919 by Morris Cohen, whom Bertrand Russell once &#8230; <a href="http://philipschaefer.com/2012/02/20/a-great-philosopher-on-baseball-as-a-religion/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A GREAT PHILOSOPHER ON BASEBALL AS A RELIGION. Mary Jane quite frequently refers to baseball as a religion for me. The South Side Sox blog called my attention to this <a href="http://ourgame.mlblogs.com/2011/12/30/baseball-as-a-national-religion/">essay</a> from 1919 by Morris Cohen, whom Bertrand Russell once called “the most significant philosopher in the United States”. The title is &#8220;Baseball as a National Religion&#8221;, and it is reprinted on John Thorn&#8217;s Our Game blog. Here are some quotes which give the flavor of Cohen&#8217;s argument: &#8220;I &#8230; maintain that, by all the canons of our modern books on comparative religion, baseball is a religion, and the only one that is not sectarian but national.&#8221; Baseball offers “redemption from the limitations of our petty individual lives and the mystic unity with a larger life of which we are a part.” Baseball has even more of the religious quality of Greek drama, &#8220;since we are absorbed not only in the action of the visible actors but more deeply in the fate of the mystic unities which we call the contending cities.&#8221;</p>
<p>Cohen says that: &#8220;When my revered friend and teacher William James wrote an essay on “A Moral Equivalent for War,” I suggested to him that baseball already embodied all the moral value of war, so far as war had any moral value.&#8221; He concludes by looking forward to &#8220;the establishment of the true Church Universal in which all men would feel their brotherhood in the Infinite Game.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>THE OLDEST  FANTASY BASEBALL LEAGUE STARTS ITS 32ND SEASON. (COMMENT).</title>
		<link>http://philipschaefer.com/2012/02/19/the-oldest-fantasy-baseball-league-starts-its-32nd-season-comment/</link>
		<comments>http://philipschaefer.com/2012/02/19/the-oldest-fantasy-baseball-league-starts-its-32nd-season-comment/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Feb 2012 01:32:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Philip</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sports]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://philipschaefer.com/?p=11116</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[THE OLDEST FANTASY BASEBALL LEAGUE STARTS ITS 32ND SEASON (COMMENT). David Quemere commented on my post about our &#8220;rotisserie league&#8221;, which I claim is the oldest fantasy baseball league in the country. (In the early years, fantasy leagues were called &#8230; <a href="http://philipschaefer.com/2012/02/19/the-oldest-fantasy-baseball-league-starts-its-32nd-season-comment/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>THE OLDEST FANTASY BASEBALL LEAGUE STARTS ITS 32ND SEASON (COMMENT). David Quemere <a href="http://philipschaefer.com/2007/03/31/the-second-oldest-fantasy-baseball-league/comment-page-1/#comment-9833">commented</a> on my post about our &#8220;rotisserie league&#8221;, which I claim is the oldest fantasy baseball league in the country. (In the early years, fantasy leagues were called rotisserie leagues.) Of the 10 million or so current leagues, there may be some that are tied for first place, but there are none older. I loved hearing from another pioneering league. David Quemere&#8217;s league began in 1984 and has three of the original franchises. He remembers compiling stats by hand just as our league officials did. Nowadays, most players follow the drafting on a computer, but from the beginning we have had a large display board on which the draft picks are recorded, and we are maintaining the tradition. Mat Olkin, who ran the board for us for a couple years when he was in law school, has gone on to do sabermetric work for the Seattle Mariners and, as of 2010, the Toronto Blue Jays (see <a href="http://jaysjournal.com/2010/04/09/tom-tango-mat-olkin-jays-saber-gurus/">here</a>). Pitchers and catchers are reporting, and we have drawn our draft postions.</p>
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		<title>WHEN ARE SUNK COSTS SUNK?</title>
		<link>http://philipschaefer.com/2012/01/03/when-are-sunk-costs-sunk/</link>
		<comments>http://philipschaefer.com/2012/01/03/when-are-sunk-costs-sunk/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Jan 2012 19:20:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Philip</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://philipschaefer.com/?p=10888</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[WHEN ARE SUNK COSTS SUNK? Although the article by Baliga and Ely presents its arguments as an exception to the long-established rule that it is rational to treat sunk costs as by-gones, I think it is easier to view the &#8230; <a href="http://philipschaefer.com/2012/01/03/when-are-sunk-costs-sunk/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>WHEN ARE SUNK COSTS SUNK? Although the article by Baliga and Ely presents its arguments as an exception to the long-established rule that it is rational to treat sunk costs as by-gones, I think it is easier to view the argument in the article as focusing on the difficulties in applying the long-established rule. If you can&#8217;t figure out what went wrong with the original decision, the previous analysis, even though not completely remembered, should be given some weight. To take the example of the expensive outfielder, perhaps some of the scouts who evaluated him before the decision saw some abilities that should be taken into account&#8230;. </p>
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		<title>WHY SUNK COSTS SHOULD BE IGNORED.</title>
		<link>http://philipschaefer.com/2012/01/02/why-sunk-costs-should-be-ignored/</link>
		<comments>http://philipschaefer.com/2012/01/02/why-sunk-costs-should-be-ignored/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Jan 2012 18:16:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Philip</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://philipschaefer.com/?p=10844</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[WHY SUNK COSTS SHOULD BE IGNORED. Kids, you have probably encountered the the economic argument that it is a fallacy to take sunk costs into consideration in making a decision (&#8220;sunk costs&#8221; are defined in this wikipedia article as &#8220;retrospective &#8230; <a href="http://philipschaefer.com/2012/01/02/why-sunk-costs-should-be-ignored/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>WHY SUNK COSTS SHOULD BE IGNORED. Kids, you have probably encountered the the economic argument that it is a fallacy to take sunk costs into consideration in making a decision (&#8220;sunk costs&#8221; are defined in this wikipedia article as &#8220;retrospective (past) costs that have already been incurred and cannot be recovered.&#8221; My post <a href="http://philipschaefer.com/2008/09/01/the-page-69-test/">here</a> provides an example of an economist who rigorously refuses to take sunk costs into effect in reading books: &#8220;Tyler Cowen in DISCOVER YOUR INNER ECONOMIST says that you should always be willing to treat &#8216;sunk costs as sunk&#8217;, to &#8216;let bygones be bygones.&#8217; He says he follows this precept by finishing only one out of every ten books he starts.&#8221;</p>
<p>The wikipedia article points out that although economic theory says that it is irrational to consider sunk costs in making decisions, evidence from behavioral economics shows that: &#8220;Sunk costs greatly affect actors&#8217; decisions, because many humans are loss-averse and thus normally act irrationally when making economic decisions.&#8221; An article in the American Economic Journal Microeconomics (November 2011) by Sandeep Baliga and Jeffrey C. Ely&#8212;&#8221;Mnemonomics: The Sunk Cost Fallacy as a Memory Kludge&#8221;&#8212;gives the example that: &#8220;France and Britain continued to invest in the Concorde supersonic jet after it was known that it was going to be unprofitable.&#8221; Nick can sympathize with another example: if a baseball team takes on a very expensive contract with an outfielder who is not good enough to play, it would be rational to release the outfielder and move on.</p>
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		<title>MY FAVORITE HOAX.</title>
		<link>http://philipschaefer.com/2011/12/20/my-favorite-hoax/</link>
		<comments>http://philipschaefer.com/2011/12/20/my-favorite-hoax/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Dec 2011 02:11:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Philip</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sports]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://philipschaefer.com/?p=10782</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[MY FAVORITE HOAX. This hoax was sent me by a friend who is a very astute authority on baseball. I wish I had been taken in by it.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>MY FAVORITE HOAX. This <a href="http://www.snopes.com/photos/advertisements/ballgirl.asp">hoax</a> was sent me by a friend who is a very astute authority on baseball. I wish I had been taken in by it.</p>
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		<title>TYLER DURDEN IS NOT A HOAX (COMMENT).</title>
		<link>http://philipschaefer.com/2011/12/19/tyler-durden-is-not-a-hoax-comment/</link>
		<comments>http://philipschaefer.com/2011/12/19/tyler-durden-is-not-a-hoax-comment/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Dec 2011 15:24:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Philip</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sports]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://philipschaefer.com/?p=10778</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[TYLER DURDEN IS NOT A HOAX (COMMENT). Dick Weisfelder and Nick picked up on the link in my post on rehypothecation to a post by Tyler Durden, whose picture on the blog looks like Brad Pitt. I completely missed that &#8230; <a href="http://philipschaefer.com/2011/12/19/tyler-durden-is-not-a-hoax-comment/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>TYLER DURDEN IS NOT A HOAX (COMMENT). Dick Weisfelder and Nick picked up on the link in my <a href="http://philipschaefer.com/2011/12/13/rehypothecation-a-scary-article/">post</a> on rehypothecation to a post by Tyler Durden, whose picture on the blog looks like Brad Pitt. I completely missed that &#8220;Tyler Durden&#8221; is the name of the character that Brad Pitt plays in Fight Club, which is understandable because Fight Club is one of many markers that separate me from Nick&#8217;s generation. Dick goes farther and suggests that I have fallen for a hoax. It is jolly to think of a hoax about rehypothecation going viral. However, scrolling through the ZeroHedge blog shows that &#8220;Tyler Durden&#8221; is the nom de blog for one or more financial sophisticates. The nom de blog seems to have been chosen to reflect a certain attitude towards life and markets. <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/news/diplomatic-war-between-france-and-uk-goes-defcon-2">Here</a> is &#8220;Tyler Durden&#8221; on the diplomatic war between France and the UK that I posted on yesterday: &#8220;As for the idiotic pissing contest between the two countries with epic chips on their shoulders, the final appropriate outcome would be Moodys and S&#038;P coming out and downgrading them both to junk, and even that would be optimistic.&#8221; The quote gives a flavor of the style.</p>
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		<title>MONEYBALL AND PIG FARMING.</title>
		<link>http://philipschaefer.com/2011/10/30/moneyball-and-pig-farming/</link>
		<comments>http://philipschaefer.com/2011/10/30/moneyball-and-pig-farming/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 31 Oct 2011 01:46:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Philip</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sports]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://philipschaefer.com/?p=10213</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[MONEYBALL AND PIG FARMING. Lindy Hinkleman, a pig farmer in Idaho, has just had his second success in three years in national fantasy baseball contests. He won a grand prize of $100,000 this year and over $240,000 in 2009. This &#8230; <a href="http://philipschaefer.com/2011/10/30/moneyball-and-pig-farming/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>MONEYBALL AND PIG FARMING. Lindy Hinkleman, a pig farmer in Idaho, has just had his second success in three years in national fantasy baseball contests. He won a grand prize of $100,000 this year and over $240,000 in 2009. This <a href="http://www.ktvb.com/home/Idaho-pig-farmers-unique-way-of-getting-rich-132735503.html">article</a> points out that he is also a champion pig farmer and considers himself fortunate that he has been able to do what he wanted to do after graduating from college. This <a href="http://offthebench.nbcsports.com/2011/10/25/pig-farmer-wins-300000-playing-fantasy-baseball/">article</a> quotes Hinkleman on how his love of baseball and of pig farming work together: “Raising pigs and this baseball thing really go together&#8230;.There are certain things in farming: keeping track of productivity, indexes for your sows, the genetic lines there. To do well, you’ve got to be pretty proficient in numbers. Math has always been my strong suit. I can see things with the numbers.”</p>
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		<title>ALBERT PUJOLS SHOWS LEADERSHIP.</title>
		<link>http://philipschaefer.com/2011/10/23/albert-pujols-shows-leadership/</link>
		<comments>http://philipschaefer.com/2011/10/23/albert-pujols-shows-leadership/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 24 Oct 2011 00:52:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Philip</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Journalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sports]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://philipschaefer.com/?p=10119</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[ALBERT PUJOLS SHOWS LEADERSHIP. Over the years, some of the most violent criticism I have read in a newspaper results from a failure by an athlete to give an interview. The latest example followed an error in the ninth inning &#8230; <a href="http://philipschaefer.com/2011/10/23/albert-pujols-shows-leadership/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>ALBERT PUJOLS SHOWS LEADERSHIP. Over the years, some of the most violent criticism I have read in a newspaper results from a failure by an athlete to give an interview. The latest example followed an error in the ninth inning of the second game of the World Series by Albert Pujols, the star of the Saint Louis Cardinals. The error cost the Cardinals the game. Pujols did not appear for questioning by the media after the game. This Yahoo <a href="http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news;_ylt=Aj7LeFICYqv8WGwiNmEvhPsRvLYF?slug=jp-passan_pujols_world_series_game_two_cardinals_102011">article</a> is typical of the reaction of sports writers to not getting an interview. Not doing so is often described by sports writers in terms more applicable to a serial killer. The article says that &#8220;Pujols is not accountable to the media. This is not about that.&#8221; The article then goes in for sports writer&#8217;s cliches about how errors are a result of moral failings. Pujols &#8220;spit the bit in a crucial game.&#8221; It was &#8220;bush league&#8221;. Pujols displayed &#8220;zero leadership.&#8221;</p>
<p>I have never been interested in postgame questioning of players. The questions are usually of the &#8220;How does it feel to lose this game [or win this game]. This yahoo <a href="http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news;_ylt=AhTjxs3JsNM1a8sz22YWGNUHU84F?slug=ti-brown_world_series_heats_up_pujols_10_21_11">article</a> by a different writer notes the real problem: &#8220;leaving reporters to think up their own stuff.&#8221;</p>
<p>In the next game of the Series, Pujols hit 3 home runs and led his team to victory while setting a World Series record for most extra bases in a game.</p>
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		<title>WAS THE RED SOX COLLAPSE A ONE IN 278 MILLION EVENT?</title>
		<link>http://philipschaefer.com/2011/10/10/did-the-red-sox-have-a-one-in-278-million-event/</link>
		<comments>http://philipschaefer.com/2011/10/10/did-the-red-sox-have-a-one-in-278-million-event/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Oct 2011 20:51:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Philip</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Science]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://philipschaefer.com/?p=9896</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[WAS THE RED SOX COLLAPSE A ONE IN 278 MILLION EVENT? The 278 million figure is fun to think about, and the events were dramatic. One home run by potentially the last batter in one of the games was by &#8230; <a href="http://philipschaefer.com/2011/10/10/did-the-red-sox-have-a-one-in-278-million-event/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>WAS THE RED SOX COLLAPSE A ONE IN 278 MILLION EVENT? The 278 million figure is fun to think about, and the events were dramatic. One home run by potentially the last batter in one of the games was by a hitter with a .108 batting average for the year. An unlikely event. The Red Sox won only 7 of their last 27 games, and that seems unusual for a team that had won over 60% of its games going into September. But there are arguments that those 27 games were not statistically independent. To begin with, there are the psychological issues. I posted <a href="http://philipschaefer.com/2007/01/29/do-baseball-players-have-hot-streaks/">here</a> that I was reconsidering my belief that sportswriters have  exaggerated the importance of streaks because people don&#8217;t realize that random number sequences will generally include some long streaks. It seems to me that there are teams that &#8220;catch fire&#8221; after they get a lead in the standings, and win a high percentage of their games the rest of the way&#8212;the Detroit Tigers this year or the 1969 Mets. The games during these streaks are not independent events because each success makes these teams more likely to win the next game. If I believe that psychological factors can lead to hot streaks, I have to accept that they can also lead to losing streaks.  Another explanation is that the Red Sox pitching staff wore out. It&#8217;s a long year, and pitchers wear down. One of the other famous collapses, by the 1964 Phillies, came when their pitching also wore down. If the Red Sox pitching was weakened in September, it&#8217;s a mistake to use their high success rate in the early months to estimate their probability of winning a game in September. Further, if their relief pitchers were heavily used in one game, the probability of losing the next couple games would increase with the weakening of the bullpen&#8212;another reason why the games in September were not independent events.</p>
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		<title>APOPHENIA  AND SPORTS JOURNALISM.</title>
		<link>http://philipschaefer.com/2011/10/09/apophenia-and-sports-journalism/</link>
		<comments>http://philipschaefer.com/2011/10/09/apophenia-and-sports-journalism/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Oct 2011 02:59:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Philip</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://philipschaefer.com/?p=9898</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[APOPHENIA AND SPORTS JOURNALISM. In yesterday&#8217;s cartoon, the first character says: &#8220;A weighted random number generator just produced a new batch of numbers.&#8221; The other character replies: &#8220;Let&#8217;s use them to build narratives.&#8221; The caption at the bottom says: &#8220;ALL &#8230; <a href="http://philipschaefer.com/2011/10/09/apophenia-and-sports-journalism/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>APOPHENIA AND SPORTS JOURNALISM. In yesterday&#8217;s cartoon, the first character says: &#8220;A weighted random number generator just produced a new batch of numbers.&#8221; The other character replies: &#8220;Let&#8217;s use them to build narratives.&#8221; The caption at the bottom says: &#8220;ALL SPORTS COMMENTARY&#8221;.  Nate Silver linked to the cartoon in his <a href="http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/09/29/bill-buckner-strikes-again/">discussion</a> of the collapse of the Boston Red Sox at the end of the season. They had a large lead for making the playoffs at the beginning of September and then on the final day of the season, they were still in position to make the playoffs until last second heroics in two games made them lose out. There are narratives readily available for sports writers (and overused) which involve some kind of moral failing on the part of the Red Sox. You can also look at the baseball results as a series of random events. You can estimate the probability of the Red Sox winning a game on the basis of their winning percentage for the first five months of the season. There are baseball sites which will tell you what the probability of a team winning a game at any point in the game&#8212;given certain assumptions. FanGraphs will do it on a play by play basis. Nate Silver &#8220;just for fun&#8221; assumes that the events affecting the Red Sox were independent of each other (in a statistical sense) and on that assumption concludes that there was: &#8220;one chance in 278 million of all these events coming together in quite this way.&#8221;  </p>
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		<title>APOPHENIA&#8212;THE CARTOON.</title>
		<link>http://philipschaefer.com/2011/10/08/apophenia-the-cartoon/</link>
		<comments>http://philipschaefer.com/2011/10/08/apophenia-the-cartoon/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 08 Oct 2011 22:47:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Philip</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Baseball]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://philipschaefer.com/?p=9892</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[APOPHENIA&#8212;THE CARTOON. I posted here on September 25 about apophenia, and I have since been encountering discussions of the phenomenon although they don&#8217;t use the new word. Nate Silver even linked to this cartoon which dramatizes the phenomenon. The site &#8230; <a href="http://philipschaefer.com/2011/10/08/apophenia-the-cartoon/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>APOPHENIA&#8212;THE CARTOON. I posted <a href="http://philipschaefer.com/2011/09/25/apophenia/">here</a> on September 25 about apophenia, and I have since been  encountering discussions of the phenomenon although they don&#8217;t use the new word. Nate Silver even linked to this <a href="http://xkcd.com/904/">cartoon</a> which dramatizes the phenomenon. The site has other insightful cartoons.</p>
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