THE BEST FINAL FOUR PREDICTION. It wasn’t a prediction, but the Wall Street Journal had an article before the NCAA national championship game that said a lot about how the game later turned out. The article pointed out that after the NCAA adopted the policy in 1997 of playing the Final Four games in stadiums rather than basketball arenas, the shooting percentages of the teams in the Final Four had declined by about four percentage points (for three point shots, from 36% to 32%; for all shots, 46% to 42%). It’s harder to see when shooting in a stadium because of the background. When Butler played UConn later, the shooting percentages were indeed much lower than in most college games. That both teams have excellent defenses also played a part in the low score of the game.

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